There have been a few reports on Gartner’s top 10 technologies for 1008 over the last few days (here, here).
It’s been a while since I wrote a reasonably serious post so it’s time to get back into the saddle.
So what did I think of this top 10.
To start with there weren’t any surprises in terms of inclusion, but as the list is supposed to be in order I was surprised by the place on the list of some of them. It was nice to see the mandatory “2.0”.
1. Green IT
I think that Green IT is actually the incorrect phrase for these initiatives. Green IT gives it a nice feel, but the real driver for most business is the increasing cost of fuel. Businesses aren’t really going for Green, they are going for cost savings.
2. Unified Communications
This one has been around for a long while now. The steady shift to IP as the transport for everything seems inevitable. I think that we still have a long way to go before we will have worked out the human interactions and created a truly knew way of interacting. Some are further ahead than others but it still feels a bit too specialist. People are going to spend lots of money in this area, it’s going to be really important but it still has a long long way to go.
3. Business Process Management
This isn’t really a technology, it’s more of a methodology for using existing technologies. The issue I see is that most businesses don’t have a clue what they really do.
I was surprised to see this one so high up.
4. Metadata Management
Data is going to be a huge issue over the coming years especially the integration of data across systems. There is lots of data all over the place and increasingly people are wanting to put it together. At the same time the types of data are exploding.
5. Virtualisation 2.0
Well there had to be at least one “2.0” in there. It’s all about flexibility, moving this machine here, moving that application there without impacting the machine or the application. Green IT is going to be dependent upon this kind of technology.
6. Mashups and Composite Applications
Personally I’ve yet to see a mash-up that has really gone mainstream within an organisation. It’s used a lot for single web sites bringing together information from various sources, but within a corporation is a very different proposition.
7. The Web Platform
More service architectures. It seems to be moving that way, but very slowly. Most organisations are still struggling with what it means to deliver a service that they can tangibly see like email.
8. Computing Fabric
Fabrics have been around for a long time, this is the fabric moving inside the hardware of the device to work with the operating system. In computing terms most people are never going to knowingly interact with a computing fabric.
9. Real World Web
I think this is talking about the web becoming ever more part of the real world. It’s about the Internet being the real world rather than the Internet being the virtual world. It relies on something though – universal Internet access at good bandwidths. It’s OK in some places and using some connectivity but it’s not yet part of the real world.
10. Social Software
This is the one I was surprised to see so low down. I know a number of organisations who are seeing the use of social software explode within their business as well as outside of it.
What did I expect to see that I didn’t? I expected to see a lot more about mobile. I suppose it’s covered in 9. Real World Web but it’s not really central. I suppose it’s also part of 2. Unified Communications, but still not central.
I wonder, do other industries have lists that change so dramatically year by year, by comparison, the 2007 list:
- Open Source
- Virtualisation
- Service Registries and Repositories
- Business Process Management Suites
- Enterprise Information Management
- Ubiquitous Computing
- Information Access
- Web 2.0 – AJAX Rich Clients
- Web 2.0 – Mashup Composite Model
- Communities and Collective Intelligence
I suppose that four of them are very similar, perhaps they don’t change that much.
That wasn’t too bad, perhaps I should write more of these.